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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 

 
FORM 6-K
 
Report of Foreign Private Issuer
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
For the month of February, 2006

Commission File Number 001-14491
 

 

TIM PARTICIPAÇÕES S.A.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 

TIM PARTICIPAÇÕES S.A.
(Translation of Registrant's name into English)
 

Av. das Américas, 3434, Bloco 1, 7º andar – Parte
22640-102 Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
(Address of principal executive office)
 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F. 

Form 20-F ___X___ Form 40-F _______

 Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.  

Yes _______ No ___X____



VALUATION REPORT:
TIM Participações S.A. and
TIM Celular S.A.

January 23, 2006




Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Valuation Methodology

3. Summary of Valuation Analyses

        A. TIM Participações S.A.

        B. TIM Celular S.A.

        C. Exchange Ratio

4. Background Information

Exhibit I: Glossary

1






1. Executive Summary

2






Introduction

Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A. (formerly known as Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse First Boston S.A.) (together with its affiliates, “CS” and “we”) was retained by TIM Participações S.A. (“TIM Participações”) to prepare a financial valuation report (“Valuation Report”) concerning the economic value of the shares of TIM Participações and TIM Celular S.A. (“TIM Celular”, and together with TIM Participações, “Companies”, and each of them, “Company”), in connection with the proposed merger of shares (incorporação de ações), as defined under Article 252 of Law 6404/76 (the “Brazilian Corporation Law”) involving the Companies (“Transaction”) and as required under Article 43 of TIM Participações’ by-laws.

The following information is important and you are urged to read it carefully and in its entirety:

3






Introduction (Cont’d)

4






Introduction (Cont’d)

5






Introduction (Cont’d)

6






Introduction (Cont’d)

Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A.

7






Overview of the Transaction

Current Corporate Structure

Pro Forma Corporate Structure



Source: Companies.
Caption:
Dark Blue - Indicates a company listed in the securities market.
V - Indicates interest with voting rights (common shares).
T - Indicates total interest (including common and preferred shares).

8






2. Valuation Methodology





9


Valuation Methodology

The CS valuation analyses were prepared based on the discounted cash flow methodology (“DCF”)

10






Valuation Methodology (Cont’d)

11






Valuation Methodology (Cont’d)

Discounted Cash Flow Methodology (Cont’d)

(1) To the Enterprise Value it was also added the present value of estimated tax benefits, resulting from Net Operating Losses and Agência de Desenvolvimento do Nordeste (“ADENE”), as applicable.
(2) As defined in the previous page.

12




Valuation Methodology (Cont’d)

WACC Calculation

The WACC was determined by the combination of the cost of equity (Ce) and cost of debt (Cd) of the valuated company, considering a target capital structure

13






3. Summary of Valuation Analyses

A. TIM Participações S.A.

14






TIM Nordeste - Operating Assumptions






Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.
(1) Source: IBGE.
(2) ARPU includes Revenue of Aggregate Value Services and Other Revenue, and does not include Revenue of Visitors in Roaming.

15


TIM Sul - Operating Assumptions



Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.
(1) Source: IBGE.
(2) ARPU includes Revenue of Aggregate Value Services and Other Revenue, and does not include Revenue of Visitors Roaming.

16


TIM Participações - Financial Projections



Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.

17


TIM Participações - Discounted Cash Flow

Discounted Cash Flow
(R$ million

                     
    2006E    2007E    2008E    2009E    2010E    2011E    2012E    2013E    2014E    2015E 
                     
Unlevered Net Income (1)   410    559    667    703    789    880    937    1,008    1,073    1,127 
(+) Depreciation and Amortization    585    578    554    581    548    499    500    480    471    482 
(-) CAPEX    (544)   (508)   (473)   (475)   (467)   (466)   (453)   (459)   (465)   (482)
(-) Change in Working Capital         (82)      (51)      (51)      (11)      (75)      (47)        (29)   (9)   (9)   (6)
Unlevered Free Cash Flow    369    578    698    798    795    866    955    1,020    1,071    1,121 
                     
(1) Calculated as EBIT * (1- tax rate).
Note: The Unlevered Free Cash Flow for the terminal value was normalized in order to equal the index (CAPEX / services net revenue) to 14.2% in perpetuity.

18


3. Summary of Valuation Analyses

B. TIM Celular S.A.

19


TIM Celular - Operating Assumptions



Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.
(1) Source: IBGE.
(2) ARPU includes Revenue of Aggregate Value Services and Other Revenue, and does not include Revenue of Visitors Roaming . in

20


TIM Maxitel - Operating Assumptions



Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.
(1) Source: IBGE.
(2) ARPU includes Revenue of Aggregate Value Services and Other Revenue, and does not include Revenue of Visitors Roaming . in

21


TIM Celular Consolidated - Financial Projections



Source: Operating assumptions and financial projections furnished by the management team of each of the Companies.

22


TIM Celular Consolidated - Discounted Cash Flow

Discounted Cash Flow
(R$ million)

                     
    2006E    2007E    2008E    2009E    2010E    2011E    2012E    2013E    2014E    2015E 
                     
Unlevered Cash Flow (1)   (282)   372    564    772     1,075    1,573    1,857    2,199    2,462    2,657 
(+) Depreciation and Amortization    1,805    1,802    2,059    2,096    1,976    1,596    1,543    1,379    1,345    1,426 
(-) CAPEX    (1,387)   (1,292)   (1,152)   (1,169)   (1,176)   (1,153)   (1,171)   (1,183)   (1,248)   (1,314)
(-) Change in Working Capital    (371)   (147)   (124)   25    (125)   (62)   (31)        (26)   (14)        (15)
Unlevered Free Cash Flow    (235)   735    1,347    1,724     1,751    1,955     2,198    2,369    2,546    2,755 
                     
(1) Calculated as EBIT * (1-tax rate).
Note: The Unlevered Free Cash Flow for the terminal value was normalized in order to equal the index (CAPEX / services net revenue) to 14.4% in perpetuity.

23


3. Summary of Valuation Analyses

C. Exchange Ratio

24


Summary of Valuation Analyses (Cont’d)

25


Summary of Valuation Analyses

TIM Participações

Enterprise Value(1)
(R$ million)

WACC 
         Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
       3.0%     4.0%     5.0% 
  11.8%    7,223    7,649    8,202 
  12.5%    6,690    7,028    7,456 
  13.3%    6,234    6,506    6,844 

Equity Value (2)
(R$ milllion)

WACC           Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
       3.0%     4.0%     5.0% 
  11.8%    8,216    8,642    9,194 
  12.5%    7,683    8,021    8,449 
  13.3%    7,227    7,499    7,837 

TIM Celular Consolidated

Enterprise Value(1)
(R$ million)

WACC             Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
           3.0%         4.0%         5.0% 
  11.8%    14,661    15,634    16,894 
  12.5%    13,453    14,224    15,201 
  13.3%    12,419    13,040    13,811 

Equity Value(2)
(R$ million)

WACC             Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
           3.0%         4.0%         5.0% 
  11.8%    13,317    14,289    15,549 
  12.5%    12,108    12,880    13,856 
  13.3%    11,075    11,696    12,467 

___________________________________________
(1)      The Enterprise Value was determined in US$ and converted into R$ based on the exchange rate of January 13, 2006, of 2.2671 R$/US$. Includes, for each of the companies, the present value of estimated tax benefits resulting from Net Operating Losses and ADENE, as applicable.
(2)      Net debt used includes: (i) cash equivalents, hedge, loans and financing, (ii) provision for contingencies net of judicial deposits, (iii) dividends and interest on own capital declared and unpaid, as set forth in the balance sheet as of December 31, 2005.
 

26


Exchange Ratio

TIM Participações

Price per thousand shares
(R$ / thousand shares)

WACC             Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
           3.0%         4.0%    5.0% 
  11.8%    9.3411    9.8254    10.4533 
  12.5%    8.7350    9.1193    9.6060 
  13.3%    8.2164    8.5257    8.9100 

TIM Celular Consolidated

Price per thousand shares
(R$ / thousand shares)

WACC        Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
                   3.0%                 4.0%                 5.0% 
  11.8%    422.6737    453.5291    493.5267 
  12.5%    384.3054    408.7850    439.7925 
  13.3%    351.5112    371.2151    395.6958 

Implied Exchange Ratio

(Number of shares of TIM Participações per share of TIM Celular)

WACC        Perpetuity Growth (p.a.)
               3.0%             4.0%             5.0% 
  11.8%    45.2488    46.1588    47.2125 
  12.5%    43.9960    44.8264    45.7831 
  13.3%    42.7817    43.5407    44.4103 

27


4. Background Information

28


Weighted Average Cost of Capital

Weighted Average Cost of Capital Calculation (WACC)

   
   
Cost of Equity (Ce)      
       
Risk Free Rate (1) 4.60%     
Market Expected Risk Premium (2) 7.20%     
Country Risk Premium (3) 2.86%     
Beta (4) 1.18     
       
Cost of Equity  15.95%  Weighted Average Capital Cost (WACC)  
       
    Target Capital Structure (Debt / Total Capitalization) 35.00% 
       
    Weighted Average Cost of Capital (nominal US$) 12.33% 
       
       
Cost of Debt (Cd) (5)      
       
Cost of Debt  8.48%     
Tax Rate  34.00%     
       
Cost of Debt After Taxes  5.60%     
       
(1) Yield of the 20 Year US Treasury Bond as of January 13, 2006. Source: Bloomberg.
(2) Expected Equity Risk Premium based on the estimated premium for the US securities market (long horizon equity risk premia, 1926-2004). Source: Ibbotson Associates, Risk Premia Over Time Report, 2005.
(3) Spread between the 20 year US Treasury Bond and the Brazilian bond with maturity in 2025 (Brazil 25) on January 13, 2006. Source: Bloomberg.
(4) Levered Beta with an target capital structure based on unlevered Betas of comparable companies. Source: Barra Beta.
(5) Assumes a spread of 100 bps on the Brazilian bond.

29


Macroeconomic Assumptions

The macroeconomic assumptions detailed below represent the projections of CS macroeconomic economic research department published on January 12, 2006.

Macroeconomic Assumptions

                     
    2006E    2007E    2008E    2009E    2010E    2011E    2012E    2013E    2014E    2015E 
                     
 
GDP                                         
Real Growth (in R$)   3.0%    3.0%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5%    3.5% 
 
Inflation                                         
IGPM    4.7%    4.4%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0%    5.0% 
 
Exchange rate (R$ / US$)                                        
End of Period    2.300    2.500    2.561    2.623    2.687    2.753    2.820    2.889    2.959    3.032 
Average    2.320    2.400    2.530    2.592    2.655    2.720    2.787    2.855    2.924    2.995 
                     
Source: CS Economic Research Department

30


Exhibit I: Glossary

31


Glossary

32


The enclosed documentation is not an offering document and it does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to acquire any securities. The shares to be issued as a result of the transaction mentioned in the enclosed documentation shall not be registered in accordance with the Securities Act of 1933, and they shall not be offered or sold in the United States of America without the appropriate registration under that Act or an exemption from registration.


 

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.



  TIM PARTICIPAÇÕES S.A.
 
Date: February 1, 2006 By: /s/ Paulo Roberto Cruz Cozza
    Name: Paulo Roberto Cruz Cozza
    Title: Chief Financial Officer