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Michigan budget surplus projected to reach nearly $10 billion by year's end

Michigan could end the current fiscal year with a surplus of $5.1 billion in its general fund and $4.1 billion in its school aid fund — a potential $9.2 billion in total.

Michigan state government is awash in tax dollars.

The state could end the fiscal year with a surplus of $5.1 billion in the general fund and $4.1 billion in the school aid fund, Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s budget director said Friday. The budget year ends on Sept. 30.

Chris Harkins said nearly $6 billion of that total is for one-time use.

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"We’re still in a very strong position on the balance sheet," he said.

The House Fiscal Agency predicts that revenues have been running high enough to automatically trigger a drop in the income tax rate to 4.05% from 4.25%, under a 2015 law.

"We simply don’t know what’s going to happen because the books are not closed yet," state Treasurer Rachael Eubanks said.

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Separately, Whitmer has proposed removing a tax on pensions and increasing a tax credit for people with low or moderate incomes.

Republicans, who no longer have a majority in the Legislature, would welcome a broad tax cut.

"The hardworking people of our great state do not need more government bureaucracy. They need to keep more of what they earn; after all it is their money in the first place," said Sen. Jon Bumstead, R-North Muskegon.

Michigan's unemployment rate should be down to around 3.9%, a pre-pandemic figure, by the end of 2025, said University of Michigan economic forecaster Gabe Ehrlich.

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