fwp
Filed Pursuant To Rule 433
Registration No. 333-167132
July 28, 2010
A Case
For...
Gold Preserving Wealth in an Age of Uncertainty
Goldit is unlike all other elements on earth. Virtually indestructible, this precious metal has
been the source of countless fables and has mobilized the growth of nations and financial
infrastructures worldwide. Human beings have been utilizing gold as both a form of currency and an
investment for thousands of years.
As an asset class, gold is unique. Gold is durable and highly liquid, and the economic forces that
determine the price of gold are different from the economic forces that determine the price of many
other asset classes such as equities, bonds or real estate. A potential hedge against the
uncertainty of economic events, political unrest and high inflation, gold offers investors an
attractive opportunity to diversify their portfoliospotentially reducing overall portfolio risk
and ultimately preserving portfolio wealth.
SOLID AS GOLD: THE ENDURING ARCHETYPE
The history of gold is as old as time itself. With references to gold in the text of Genesis, to
the myths of Jason and King Midas and the legend of King Solomons mines, gold has long been a
symbol of wealth, freedom and power. Empires and nationsfrom Charlemagne to the Spanish conquest
of the New World and on through to the American frontier movementall were mobilized by the
pursuit of gold or built upon its promise.
Though its first use appears to have been for ornamentation, sculpture or jewelry, gold has been
employed most prominently through the ages as a store of financial valueor as currency. From
Ancient Egypt to modern day Britain, gold became the standard medium of exchange for trade and the
standard measure upon which monetary systems were based.
THE GOLD STANDARD
Eventually, various forms of currency and paper monies emerged and most modern nations adopted a
gold standard (i.e., currency could be redeemed in gold). In its most formal sense, the gold
standard was a financial system established with the aim of stabilizing the global economy. It
dictated that a nation could not issue currency in excess of the amount of gold it held in reserve.
Great Britain was the first to officially adopt the standard in 1821. The rest of Europe followed
in the 1870s and the system remained intact until the end of World War I. Following the war, the US
was the only country to keep the gold standard. After the war, other countries were allowed to keep
reserves of major currencies instead of gold.
When in 1934, the US devalued the dollar by raising the price of gold to $35 per ounce, holders of
gold around the world sold their holdings to the US. By the end of World War II, US holdings of
gold accounted for nearly 65% of official world stocks. At their peak in the 1960s, worldwide
official gold stocks accounted for approximately 50% or more of all above-ground gold. Central
banks were keeping all of this gold as a result of the fixed dollar price and the dollars
convertibility to gold. Gold, in essence, was still the foundation of the international monetary
system. Though there was no direct link between gold holdings and national monetary supplies, gold
was still the primary reserve asset. Central banks could convert dollar balances into gold at the
official price.
Gradually, however, central banks created more money than was consistent with stable prices and the
fixed official gold price became unrealistic. As the pivot of the world financial system, the US
was faced with the choice of deflating, devaluing or abandoning the system. In 1971, the US
abandoned the system and the dollars held by foreign central banks could no longer be converted to
gold. In 1973, the US abandoned the gold standard altogether and gold prices were allowed to float
freely.
USES FOR GOLD TODAY
Highly malleable, ductile and impervious to tarnishing, gold is one of the most beautiful and
useful elements in the world. It can be hammered into sheets so thin that light can pass through,
and a single ounce can be drawn into a wire fifty miles long. Golds chemical and physical
properties make it valuable in a wide array of everyday applications. Though jewelry accounts for
about 68% of the annual consumption of gold today, gold is also used in telecommunications,
information technology and various industrial applications. Highly conductive, gold is used in the
manufacturing of millions of computers each year, as well as millions of televisions, DVDs, video
cameras and mobile phones. Additionally, because it is non-toxic and biologically benign, gold has
proven to be a valuable tool in the treatment of medical conditions from heart disease and prostate
cancer to bacterial diseases and arthritis.1
SUPPLY & DEMAND
Ever since the gold standard was abandoned, gold prices have been driven by supply and demand.
Though it can be found on nearly every continent in the world, relative to many other metals, gold
is scarce. In fact, if we were to compress the worlds total above-ground stocks of gold into one
space, it would amount to a single cube 66 x 66 x 66 feet.2
Extracting gold is not easy or inexpensive. At average grades, it takes about five tonnes of ore to
yield even one ounce of gold. New mine supply has remained relatively constant for the past five
years and grass roots exploration spending has returned to the peak levels seen in 1997. Global
demand in 2009 reached 4,026 tonnes. Scrap supply and central bank sales typically make up the
shortfall between mine production and global demand (Figure 2).
Source: World Gold Council
Of note in 2007 was the sharp increase in the price of gold, starting in September. Gold prices
began the year relatively stable, though after news of the financial crisis struck in August
investors rushed to purchase gold, pushing up the price. Supply to the market was constrained,
falling approximately 3% below 2006 levels, and thus demand for gold remained constrained as well.
Gold currently accounts for 10% of global foreign exchange reserves, and central bank holdings of
gold currently account for about 20% of total above-ground stocks. Some gold opponents may point to
the risk that central banks could dump their gold reserves back into the market, thus drastically
decreasing the price of gold. This fear may stem from the behavior of some central banks during the
1990s, when central banks engaged in broad selling and lending, and the price of gold fell
dramatically.
Today, however, the risk of such central bank sales has lessened. In 1999, certain central banks
agreed to abide by the Central Bank Gold Agreement (CBGA), which limited the amount of gold they
could sell to 400 tonnes a year, and also set a limit on the volume of gold loaned to the market.
Signatories of the CBGA represent roughly 39% of all official sector gold holdings in the
worldthis from a mere 18 countries. Additionally, these central banks reaffirmed their confidence
in the future of gold as a reserve asset. The CBGA was renewed in 2004 and again in 2009. Since
CBGA signatories historically have owned large blocks of gold at one time, the agreement has acted
as a reassurance for the markets.
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WHY INVEST IN GOLD BULLION?
WEALTH PRESERVATION
Gold is an imperishable asset. And unlike equities or bonds, the value of which is dependent on the
issuers ability to pay in the future, gold bulliona pure form of golddoes not depend on anyone
elses ability to pay.
Over time, gold has tended to maintain its purchasing power, especially during periods of economic
or political upheaval. It has often been quoted that With an ounce of gold a man could buy a fine
suit of clothes in the time of Shakespeare, in that of Beethoven and Jefferson, in the Depression
of the 1930s.3 In fact, analysis suggests that the real value of gold may fluctuate in
the short term, but that it has consistently returned to its historic purchasing power parity with
respect to other commodities over the very long term.4 Consequently, over a long period
of time, gold may be an effective tool for preserving wealth.
During periods of economic and political instability, when the value of many other assets may have
fallen dramatically, gold has commonly remained a store of value.5
DIVERSIFICATION
Market cycles are unpredictable, making timing the market a risk-laden undertaking. Given this
volatility, investors should diversify among a variety of different asset classes in order to
protect their portfolios against the short-term risks of being absent from top-performing asset
classes or of being too heavily concentrated in the lowest performers (Figure 3 below). It is a
prudent practice to build portfolios that are well-diversified.
A broadly diversified portfolio that holds a wide range of asset classesincluding
goldpotentially provides downside protection against short term underperformance; however,
diversification does not ensure profit or provide a guarantee against loss.
RISK MANAGEMENT
Statistical analysis shows that the price movements in gold bullion tend not to move in tandem with
those of traditional asset classes, such as equities and real estate. Historically, gold has shown
statistically insignificant correlation with equities and other conventional asset classes (Figure
4 above). Although the aim of diversification is to hold
a wide array of assets that perform
differently from one another under various market conditions, studies have suggested that equity
markets tend to become more closely correlated during periods of market turbulence. Conversely,
commodities tend to become less correlated with major asset classes during such
periods.6
Additionally, a 2003 study concluded that not only was gold negatively or insignificantly
correlated with major asset classes, but that there was no statistically significant correlation
between returns on gold and changes in macroeconomic variables such as GDP and interest
rates.7 In sum, including gold in a portfolio potentially lowers overall risk without
necessarily decreasing returns.
CONCLUSION: GOLD DOESNT LOSE ITS LUSTER
A transcendent store of value, gold is accepted the world over. In an age of increasing concerns
about market volatility and political upheaval, at a time when the largest segment of the US
population is approaching a potentially prolonged and expensive retirement, the preservation of
wealth is paramount. And, due to its lack of correlation with traditional asset classes as well as
with major economic variables, gold is a proven asset diversifier.
When used in the construction of diversified portfolios, gold potentially helps reduce overall risk
and may ultimately help protect investor wealth.
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STATE STREET GLOBAL MARKETS, LLC
State Street Financial Center
One Lincoln Street
Boston, MA 02111
866.320.4053
spdrgoldshares.com
FOR PUBLIC USE.
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Gold Uses: Medicine and Health Page. The Gold Institute. September 2004. www.goldinstitute.org |
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World Gold Council, October 2009. |
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The United States Geological Survey, 1998. |
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Jastram, Roy. The Golden Constant: The English and American Experience
1560-1976. New York, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977. |
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World Gold Council, An Investors Guide to the Gold Markets. (US Edition),
April 2010. |
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Lawrence, Colin. Why is Gold Different from Other Assets? An Empirical
Investigation. London, United Kingdom: World Gold Council, 2003. |
Bernstein, Peter L. The Power of Gold: The History of an Obsession. New York: John Wiley & Sons,
2000.
Chow, G., et al. Optimal portfolios in good times and bad times. Financial Analysts Journal. vol
55, no. 3, (May/June): 65-73.
GFMS Limited. Gold Survey 2004. London, United Kingdom: GFMS Limited, April 2004.
Gold Uses: Medicine and Health Page. The Gold Institute. September 2004. www.goldinstitute.org
Goldman Sachs. Commodity Price Analysis: US Metals & Mining Gold. New York, NY: Goldman Sachs,
January 28, 2004.
Green, Timothy. The New World of Gold. New York: Walker and Company, 1984.
Harmston, Stephen. Gold as a Store of Value. Research Study No. 22. London, United Kingdom: World
Gold Council, November 1998.
Jastram, Roy. The Golden Constant: The English and American Experience 1560-1976. New York, New
York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977.
Lawrence, Colin. Why is Gold Different from Other Assets? An Empirical Investigation. London,
United Kingdom: World Gold Council, 2003.
Shares (the Shares) of the SPDRGold Trust (the Trust) trade like stocks, are subject to
investment risk and will fluctuate in market value. The value of the Shares relates directly to the
value of the gold held by the Trust (less Trust expenses) and fluctuations in the price of gold
could materially adversely affect an investment in the Shares. Investors should be aware that there
is no assurance that gold will maintain its long-term value in terms of purchasing power in the
future. The Trust does not generate any income and as the Trust
regularly sells gold to pay for its ongoing expenses, the amount of gold represented by each Share
will decline over time.
The Trust has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus) with the SEC for the offering
to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in that
registration statement and other documents the Trust has filed with the SEC for more complete
information about the Trust and this offering. You may get these documents for free by visiting
EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the Trust or any Authorized Participant
will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling 866.320.4053 or contacting
State Street Global Markets, LLC, One Lincoln Street, Attn: SPDR Gold Shares, 30th Floor, Boston,
MA 02111.
The prospectus contains material information about the Trust and its Shares which is material
and/or which may be important to you. You should read the entire prospectus, including Risk
Factors before making an investment decision about the Shares.
Shareholders of the Trust will not
have the protections associated with ownership of shares in an investment company registered under
the Investment Company Act of
1940 or the protections afforded by the Commodity Exchange Act of 1936. The Trust is not registered
as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not required to register
under such act. Neither the Sponsor nor the Trustee of the Trust is subject to regulation by the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Shareholders will not have the regulatory protections
provided to investors in Commodity Exchange Act regulated instruments or commodity pools.
STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This document includes forward-looking statements which generally relate to future events or
future performance. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such
as may, will, should, expect, plan, anticipate, believe, estimate, predict,
potential, it is likely or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. All
statements (other than statements of historical fact) included in this document that address
activities, events or developments that will or may occur in the future, including such matters as
changes in commodity prices and market conditions (for gold and the Shares), the Trusts
operations, the Sponsors plans and references to the Trusts future success and other similar
matters are forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that these statements are only
projections. Actual events or results may differ materially. These statements are based upon
certain assumptions and analyses the Sponsor made based on its perception of historical trends,
current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors believed appropriate
in the circumstances. Whether or not actual results and developments will conform to the Sponsors
expectations and predictions, however, is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties,
including, the factors identified in the Risk Factors section of the Prospectus filed with the
SEC and in other filings made by the Trust from time to time with the SEC. Consequently, all the
forward-looking statements made in this material are qualified by these cautionary statements, and
there can be no assurance that the actual results or developments the Sponsor or the Marketing
Agent anticipates will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will result in the
expected consequences to, or have the expected effects on, the Trusts operations or the value of
the Shares. Neither the Sponsor, the Marketing Agent nor any other person assumes responsibility
for the accuracy or completeness of the forward-looking statements. Neither the Trust, the
Marketing Agent nor the Sponsor is under a duty to update any of the forward-looking statements to
conform such statements
to actual results or to reflect a change in the Sponsors or the Marketing Agents expectation or
projections.
SPDR® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC (S&P)
and has been licensed for use by State Street Corporation. No financial product offered by State
Street Corporation or its affiliates is sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P or its
affiliates, and S&P and its affiliates make no representation, warranty or condition regarding the
advisability of buying, selling or holding units/shares in such products. Further limitations that
could affect investors rights may be found in the SPDR Gold Shares prospectus.
Neither diversification nor asset allocation ensure profit or guarantee against loss.
The Trust is sponsored by World Gold Trust Services, LLC (the Sponsor), a wholly-owned subsidiary
of the World Gold Council. State Street Global Markets, LLC (the Marketing Agent) is the
marketing agent of the Trust and an affiliate of State Street Global Advisors. For more
information: State Street Global Markets, LLC, One Lincoln Street,
Boston, MA, 02111 866.320.4053 www.spdrgoldshares.com.
Not FDIC Insured No Bank Guarantee May Lose Value
© 2010 State Street Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
IBG-2001 Exp. Date: 1/20/2011 IBG.GLD.CF.0710
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SPDR® GOLD TRUST has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus)
with the SEC for the offering to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should
read the prospectus in that registration statement and other documents the issuer has filed with
the SEC for more complete information about the Trust and this offering. You may get these
documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the Trust
or any Authorized Participant will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling
toll free at 1-866-320-4053 or contacting State Street Global Markets, LLC, One Lincoln Street,
Attn: SPDR® Gold Shares, 30th Floor, Boston, MA 02111.